Comments on: Question of the Week http://www.shakespeareteacher.com/blog/archives/751 Thu, 09 Feb 2012 15:15:36 -0700 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: Neel Mehta http://www.shakespeareteacher.com/blog/archives/751/comment-page-1#comment-170048 Neel Mehta Tue, 16 Sep 2008 00:33:58 +0000 http://www.shakespeareteacher.com/blog/?p=751#comment-170048 5 percent is a pretty good answer. But the more interesting question is whether Sarah Palin will ever become President by order of succession. Then you can factor in the prospect of McCain's re-election. Barack Obama strikes me as the kind of person who would not run again in 2012 if he loses in 2008. Hillary Clinton, however, will probably give it another shot, and I wonder if she will benefit from 4 years of America getting used to seeing a woman as VP. If she does, then she'll be the (very beatable) Democratic candidate. I'm no actuary, but I'd imagine McCain's chances of survival for a second term drop considerably. Palin's percentage could triple. Furthermore, you could ask what her chances are to ever become President, by succession or election. Maybe up to 25 percent? I'm not very good at this; right now I'm just comfortable with saying "better chances than Joe Lieberman." 5 percent is a pretty good answer. But the more interesting question is whether Sarah Palin will ever become President by order of succession. Then you can factor in the prospect of McCain’s re-election.

Barack Obama strikes me as the kind of person who would not run again in 2012 if he loses in 2008. Hillary Clinton, however, will probably give it another shot, and I wonder if she will benefit from 4 years of America getting used to seeing a woman as VP. If she does, then she’ll be the (very beatable) Democratic candidate.

I’m no actuary, but I’d imagine McCain’s chances of survival for a second term drop considerably. Palin’s percentage could triple.

Furthermore, you could ask what her chances are to ever become President, by succession or election. Maybe up to 25 percent? I’m not very good at this; right now I’m just comfortable with saying “better chances than Joe Lieberman.”

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